Drivers of Forex Trading


By

Shaista Anwar
Lecturer in Finance
Amity Business School
Amity University
Lucknow
 


Being a forex day trader can be very lucrative. The currency market is by far the most liquid and volatile market in the world and with this come various opportunities.People involved in the buying and selling of foreign currencies are said to be traders in the forex market. Instead of investing in the success of companies, these traders invest in the success of specific world wide currencies. It means that they technically invest in the success of the nations themselves. The eco. success is the most important aspect of this, but the economic success itself has a lot of things it depends on, and forex market too depends on  things.

DRIVER 1: A country's economy depends on  its Gross Domestic Product (GDP). This is not, by any means, a new concept, however the way that the GDP works might change from country to country. First it is important to understand that the GDP affects the strength of a nation's currency by weakening or strengthening the net production of the country. Regardless of import and export, the GDP represents the power of the workers' force of a nation. This is indicative of the working ethic of the citizens and the strength of their working power as a whole.

DRIVER 2: Another way in which a nation's Forex trading power is affected is simply what their current events are at the time in question. Although this may not be intuitive, it is perfectly logical that this be an influencing factor on currency. This can be clearly seen in the case of Hurricane Katrina, which greatly affected the US's currency. This does not mean that there must be a huge disaster in order to influence the Forex trading, and the market is actually affected by all kinds of things that take place in the country in question.

DRIVER 3: The third factor seen to have an affect on the value of nations currency is the industrial production report of that nation. This is not the same as GDP, and the two are actually quite different. While the GDP measures the amount of production, the industrial production report measures the efficiency of what is being produced. A country that is more efficient will have a better rating on this factor than a country that is not very efficient.

DRIVER 4: The fourth important factor is the consumer price index & as the others this too has a great effect on the currency of a country. The basic idea behind this is to look at what a country produces on its own. It becomes obvious that if a country is making money then their rating will be inevitably good for a Forex trade.A nation that makes more money on products they themselves produce will score better than a country that produces nothing.

DRIVER 5 : The final of the top five factors that impact a nations currency strength is known as the Retail Sales Report. This report samples retail across a nation in a variety of domains for purchasing. The idea behind this is to find out what the majority of the people in the country spend their money on. If we were to take an event like September 11th we would see that the general spending culture changed dramatically. While the GDP may not have changed and the industrial production efficiency might have changed only slightly, retail sales plummet. The sales of automobiles and plane tickets went down dramatically, and it is important to remember that these too are part of the retail spending of the nation's inhabitants.These five factors together provide a very clear idea of just how a currency is doing, and by taking a look at these factors one can predict where the market will go.

CONCLUSION :

The foreign exchange market, or forex, has notoriously been the domain of government central banks and commercial and investment banks. But now more than ever individuals are tackling the forex market as it offers trading 24-hours a day, five days a week, and the daily dollar volume of currencies traded in the currency market exceeds $1.9 trillion daily, making it the largest and most liquid market in the world.

 


Shaista Anwar
Lecturer in Finance
Amity Business School
Amity University
Lucknow
 

Source: E-mail January 13, 2008

          

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